The Tsunami, Phoenix, Tequila Sunset and Fedex Scenarios

View this Publication

Book serves as guide for policymakers and development practitioners who are grappling with implications of international trade agreements for states and communities.

Book provides several scenarios for state or local development teams that are working to design policy or initiatives to help the rural apparel industry in a region impacted by international trade agreement.

Scenario (1) entails the worst prospects for the U.S. apparel industry; Scenario (2) entails slightly less disastrous impacts, with the name “Phoenix Scenario” describes a re-emerging and revitalized apparel industry in the U.S. over the next 20 years; Scenario (3) entails a scene win which competitive advantages enjoyed by the U.S. will disappear under NAFTA entirely; Scenario (4) or the “FedEx Scenario” describe a setting in which the attractive economics of air freight- combined with an increased reliance on modern community- will progressively undermine the Phoenix Scenario.

Aspen Institute Community Strategies Group
Latest From Aspen CSG
outdoor rec report page cover
Mapping a New Terrain: Call to Action

As new rural outdoor recreation economies take root, we can meet this moment by improving how we do outdoor recreation development to better support rural families, businesses, and workers, create more sustainable and equitable economic systems, and improve local health and wellbeing.

Wealth Creation in Rural and Indigenous Places

Sep. 19th, 2023, 2PM

Learn how rural practitioners are advancing equitable prosperity and economic development in a way that embraces and strengthens the unique assets of rural regions.

WealthWorks: A Powerful Tool for Thriving Rural Places

WealthWorks is an approach to doing economic development differently that inspired and continues to inform the Thrive Rural Framework. Learn more about the WealthWorks approach.

Broadband technician working
Broadband Resources

A collection of broadband resources for funding, advocacy, and community program opportunities for rural community leaders.

collaborating partners
How To Organize a Rural Action Infrastructure

Discussion with rural leaders on the opportunity equitable outdoor recreation economies pose to rural areas.

Queer youth in celebratory gathering
Rural and Native Celebrations of the LGBTQ+ Community

A collection of rural, queer organizations and stories about rural communities and Native nations celebrating the LGBTQ+ community. Explore these moments to learn more about how queer people are celebrated in rural spaces. 

Brookings logo
Rural Policy Resources

A collection of resources provided by the Brookings Institution emerging from their rural research.